Referat El Nino
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What is EL Nino?
Simply put by Billy Kessler, an Oceanographer for the
Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory at NOAA-Seatle in his FAQ about
El Nińo: Suppose a relatively brief opposing wind occurs over the west
Pacific warm pool. It may last for as little as one month. This starts
and estward current that pushes the warm pool a little bit east of it s
usual position. If the ocean and atmosphere were not coupled, then this
motion would soon stop when it ran into the trade winds. But we have
shown that the trade winds exist because of the temperature contrast
between east and west. If the central Pacific is warmed by flow from the
west, even a small amount, then the region of rising air will ten to
move east with the warm water. That means the trade winds will also
shrink back east a little, since those winds are caused by the rising
air. But then the pressure of the trades holding up the sea surface
slope to the west is weakened, and even more west Pacific water tries to
slosh eastward. That wardms the central Pacific a little bit more, and
the rising air moves further east, and the trades shrink more. This
collapse continues until the water is warm across the Pacific, the
trades are weak, and the thermocline zone between the warm upper-sunlit
waters and the colder deep-sundeprived waters] and sea surface slope
flatten out.
during El Nińo conditions are shot up into the general direction of the
U.S. rather than the usual path into Mexico. This was partly why the
California area experienced severe flooding during last winter. Because,
El Nińo conditions, on average, form every 2-7 years around Christmas
time, Peruvian fishermen named the event, El Nińo or "The Christ
Child," in the mid-1500s. However, the event was not recognized as a
large-scale event until the 1960s, when satalite technology became
available. As mentioned above, the event is triggered by the weakening
of trade winds and the mass movement of warm water westward, and,
depending on the strength of the event, it continues into mid-Spring,
Summer, or Fall time.
lifornia and the Southwest United States. The Pacific Northwest
experiences a warmer winter with less snow and more rain. It has also
been found that tornados are somewhats less numerous during the El Nińo
phenomenon. Coastal errosion can be found all along the North & Central
American coastline, as was witnessed by the many homes slowly falling
off cliffs in the California area during the major El Nińo of 1997-98.
Droughts occur in Indonesia and Eastern Australia, as was attested to in
the Indonesian fires of 1997-98. Scientists at NASA s Goddard Space
Flight Center have also found that El Nińo slows the Earth s rotation
by an average of 300 to 400 microseconds. At the peak of the most recent
El Nińo in July 1997, the rotation was slowed by as much as 800
microseconds (almost one thousanth of a second). The success of the
Pathfinder mission to Mars was attributed to this slowing of Earth.
However, La Nińa affects the Earth s rotation causing it to speed up,
but only about three-quarters as much as El Nińo slowed it down.
Indirectly, El Nińo causes some rivers to swell, because of increased
snow pack and rain. At the peak of the 1997-98 El Nińo, 12 people had
died while rafting on California rivers alone, more than in the previous
four years combined. Fisheries in the Pacific Northwest and South
America also disapear because ocean temperatures comonly rise 6-10°F
above normal.
Why El Nińo forms or what the initial catylist that
triggers the conditions is still remains a mystery to the scientific
community, although research is currently being conducted by many
groups. Theories in the past have included volcanic eruptions, but this
has been ruled out because many El Nińos have not been preceeded by
eruptions; sea floor venting and sunspots have also been blamed for the
rise in temperature shifts, but these predictions have been investigated
and have turned up no positive proof.
La Nińa
an near South America. La Nińa, also called El Viejo (the old man)
occurs every 4-10 years.
ences a colder winter with more snow at lower elevations. La Nińa also
been found to enhance the production of tornados from Ohio to the
Tennessee River Valley. Mass flooding occurs in Indonesia, Eastern
Australia, and Southern Asia. Similarly to El Nińo, why La Nińa occurs
still remains a mystery.
The Future of El Nińo & La Nińa and Global Warming...
Some scientists feel that the climatic phenomena are becoming more
frequent due to global warming. Others feel that El Nińo and La Nińa
are contributing to the warming/cooling of the earth. Still yet, some
people believe that the El Nińo and La Nińa events are simply part of
a larger cycle of climatic changes. Unfortunately, we have been studying
these events far to short to tell.
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